Wildfire Outlook: March 2021 – June 2021

Below are summaries from the National Significant Wildland Fire Potential Outlook, provided by the National Interagency Fire Center, for the period of March 2021 through June 2021. The full outlook can be located here.

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The USGS Rolls Out a New Five Year Wildland Fire Science Strategy to Address Increasingly Devastating Fires

Three of the past four years have set wildfire records for acres burned, damaged and destroyed structures, and even deaths. To address the increasing risks to life, property, and the environment, the United States Geological Survey released a new strategy to use science, research, and technology to better address fire risks before, during, and after they happen. The Wildland Fire Science Strategy is a fire year plan that will guide USGS research to address the changing needs for the future of wildland firefighting.

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Extreme Winter Weather Impacts Most Of The US

Extremely cold, wintry weather continues to impact the Central and Southern US with another storm on the horizon. As a result, at the peak over four million homes were without power and heat, mostly in Texas.

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Wildfire Outlook: February 2021 – May 2021

Below are summaries from the National Significant Wildland Fire Potential Outlook, provided by the National Interagency Fire Center, for the period of February 2021 through May 2021. The full outlook can be located here.

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An example of RZRisk Dashboard

RZ Risk 3 Performance on 2020 California Damage Inspections

Overall Comparison

Every year California releases its Damage Inspections (CALDINS) data from wildfires across the state. In 2020, the data surveyed 28,626 impacted structures denoting damage level in 6 categories, ranging from “No Damage” to “Destroyed”. RedZone compared its RZ Risk 3 model to the damage found – and the data did not surprise us!  Read more

Satellite view of VIIRS Fire Activity in the Amazon Categorized by Fire Type

Fire Season in the Southern Hemisphere

Due to the difference in the seasons and in weather systems, the timing of fire season in the Southern Hemisphere typically varies compared to that of the U.S. Fall season in the Northern Hemisphere coincides with spring in the Southern Hemisphere. During fire season in the Southern Hemisphere, Australia experiences bushfires, while treacherous rainforest fires have affected the Amazon in recent years.

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Wildfire Preparation During A Pandemic

As we know, wildfires can strike at any moment throughout the year given the right conditions. It is critical to have a game plan before and while a wildfire impacts your community. Due to the ongoing pandemic, additional considerations are needed to ensure a complete game plan Following local and health professional guidelines while understanding wildfire and COVID-19 in your community are great ways to prepare. 

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RedZone Announces Sarah Stillman as New Agile Project Manager

Welcome to RedZone, Sarah Stillman – Our new Agile Project Manager!

RedZone is pleased to announce our newest hire, Sarah Stillman, who will be serving as our Agile Project Manager. Read more

March 7th view of Southern Plains Wildfires

Wildfire Outlook: January 2021 – April 2021

Below are summaries from the National Significant Wildland Fire Potential Outlook, provided by the National Interagency Fire Center, for the period of January 2021 through April 2021. The full outlook can be located here.

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Record Setting 2020 Wildfire Season- A look Back

2020 was a challenging year with many unprecedented events. The 2020 wildfire season wasn’t an exception with record setting fires across the country. NIFC reported that as of December 23rd, 2020 there had been 57,480 wildfires that have burned 10,357,138 acres. This is almost 4 million more acres burned than the 10-year average and more than double the acreage burned in the 2019 season.

Year-to-date statistics
2020 (1/1/20-12/23/20) Fires: 57,480 Acres: 10,357,138
2019 (1/1/19-12/23/19) Fires: 49,492 Acres: 4,576,827
2018 (1/1/18-12/23/18) Fires: 55,911 Acres: 8,582,609
2017 (1/1/17-12/23/17) Fires: 65,127 Acres: 9,563,128
2016 (1/1/16-12/23/16) Fires: 62,946 Acres: 5,437,875
2015 (1/1/15-12/23/15) Fires: 60,984 Acres: 9,937,863
2014 (1/1/14-12/23/14) Fires: 63,252 Acres: 3,585,569
2013 (1/1/13-12/23/13) Fires: 46,373 Acres: 4,306,944
2012 (1/1/12-12/23/12) Fires: 67,326 Acres: 9,208,193
2011 (1/1/11-12/23/11) Fires: 72,508 Acres: 8,642,298
2010 (1/1/10-12/23/10) Fires: 68,598 Acres: 3,379,874
10-year average Year-to-Date
2010-2019 Fires: 61,203 Acres: 6,712,681
Source: National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC)

California First to Raise the Alarm

On March 22, California Governor Gavin Newsom declared a state of emergency due to critical fire weather conditions brought by dry conditions, near record heat, and a mass die-off of trees throughout the state. 

Wildfires in California burned a record setting 4.2 million acres with 5 of the states top 20 largest wildfires and 6 of the states most destructive fires occurring this year. The staggering number of acres burned are the most in a single year since CalFire began keeping records, and more than the last three years combined. These wildfires damaged or destroyed approximately 10,500 structures and killed 31 people. 

Source: CalFire

All but one of these record setting fires occurred during the “August Lighting Siege.” Over the course of 72 hours, more than 650 wildfires ignited across Northern California. Of these fires, the lightning caused August Complex became the first “giga fire”, burning over a million acres and shattering the previous record by nearly double the amount of acres burned.  

Record Setting Wildfire - Largest in California's History

Size Comparison – The August Complex Perimeter Repositioned Over the Los Angeles Metropolitan Area

Other States Suffered a Similar Fate

Other states experienced similar wildfire intensity. Almost 700,000 acres burned in Colorado during 2020, including the three largest fires in state history. 

The Cameron Peak Fire started on August 13 in the Arapaho and Roosevelt National Forests west of Fort Collins. It became the largest in Colorado’s history after quadrupling in size over Labor Day weekend and making another aggressive run on Oct. 14, burning over 20,000 acres in one day. Before the fire was finally contained it had burned over 208,913 acres.

The East Troublesome Fire, the second-largest blaze in Colorado’s history, moved through some areas at as much as 6,000 acres per hour. The fire eventually consumed 193,812 acres and became the first fire to cross the continental divide.

In Oregon wildfires burned approximately 1 million acres of land, almost double the 10-year average of 557,000 acres. More concerning than the number of acres burned, the second most in state history, was the unprecedented destruction. Only 2 homes were lost to wildfires in Oregon in 2019. In fact over the course of the last 4 wildfire seasons Oregon only lost a combined total of 93 homes. The amount of homes lost in 2020 totaled more than the next 5 most destructive seasons combined, with 4,009 homes lost! 

Not to be outdone by its southern neighbor, Washington saw more acres burn in one day than it did in the entirety of the past 12 wildfire seasons. Some 80 fires ignited and burned through nearly 300,000 acres over Labor Day. This includes the Pearl Hill and Cold Springs fires which combined to burn over 410,000 acres and become the largest in the state’s history. 

More of the Same in 2021

The last month of 2020 was a precursor of what is to come with several days of Red Flag Warnings for California. As 2021 nears, forecasters predict another year of large fires due to continuous climate change, persistent drought, and La Niña in regions prone to parched vegetation and climbing temperatures. It seems impossible to imagine that we could see records shattered like 2020 but if the past few years have proven, unprecedented wildfire seasons are the new normal.