Below are summaries from the National Significant Wildland Fire Potential Outlook, provided by the National Interagency Fire Center, for the period of January 2021 through April 2021. The full outlook can be located here.
Statistics Through End of Year 2020:
|Year-to-date statistics||Number of Fires||Acreage Burned|
|2020 (01/01/20 – 12/31/20)||58,258||10,274,679|
|2010-2019 – Year-to-Date Average||62,882||6,789,149|
|Percentage of 10-year Average||92.65%||151.34%|
The table above indicates this season was just below average in number of fires, but over 50% higher than an average year for total acreage. Several individual fires set records for acres burned last year.
Observations in December:
Wildland Fire Outlook for January-April:
In the Equatorial Pacific Ocean, La Niña conditions will persist through March. Sea surface temperatures remain below average. Due to these conditions, warmer and drier than normal conditions are forecast across the southern United States. The Southwest and southern High Plains are forecast to see the highest impact of these conditions. Significant fire potential is forecast to be above normal for these regions through Spring. Northern and Southern California is forecast to have normal or near normal significant fire potential, due to expected precipitation during this period. Areas of significant or exceptional drought will see above average fire potential through Spring.